Page 35 - 2017 White Paper

The American Chamber of Commerce in South China

???è¡??å¾??å½±å?æ·±è?????©ï?为å??¥å?å¹´ç?ç»??å¢? ç¾?¸­è´¸æ??¨å?å§??ä¼??说ï?2013å¹´ï?ä¸???¿å?
?¿å?å®???ºç?????¡é?æ¶???¿æ??´ï??¿å?????°æ??? ?¨é?å¼?å§??å¸???¹è?å®???????社è?ï¼??????©ç???
?½æ?ä¼??ï¼???´å???????????¹é??ºç???½¬??? ???????????ä¿¡å????ç»???³ä?å®???¹é??????
???å°???¥æ???????2011å¹´ï??½æ?ä¼???¨æ?????? 讨è????åº??å¸??è¿??ä¿¡æ?ï¼?????????¹é????
æ¯??继续???ï¼?????5%ï¼????????ä¸???¶å??? ç³»å????ï¼?????????ºè??±å???????ä¸???½æ?
主å??°ä?ï¼??å·¥ä??»äº§?¼ç?æ¯???¸å?è¾??ï¼?¾¾??26% ç»??ä¸??ä½??????¿è??????è´¹æ??©ç? (US-China
(Orlik 2012)?? Business Council 2014)??

æ­£å?ä¸??åº???¨ç?????±æ?ä¹??ï¼?¸­?½å?2009- 2013å¹´è????äº?¸¤ä»¶å¤´ç­?¤§äº?????认为???è¿?
2010å¹´é??ºç?è¿??次æ?è´·ç?æ½??è¿??ä¸??ç»??????? 平主å¸???°ä?代é?导ç?å­??????¸ºåº??ç»??å¢??????
?????????æ¶??å½±å???????è¡???¥æ?ä¸????¸­?? ?ºç?严é?ä¸???????????ï¼?
å®???¥ã??????2002å¹´ï????è¿?¿¡è´·æ?»é???????
产æ?»å?¼æ???º¦ä¸?116%ï¼??äº?2011å¹´ï?该æ??????? - 2013å¹?9???ä¸?µ·å¸??åº??å¸???¨ä¸­?½ï?ä¸?
172% (Orlik 2012)?? æµ·ï????è´¸æ?è¯???ºï?SFTZï¼??ä½?¸ºç»???¹é????
?¹ï??¨æ?èµ???¹ã??´¸??¾¿?©å????????°ã????©ç?
?¡æ¸©?¿å????è¯????为ï??¨ä?ä»???¿æ??´ï??¹é? ???è¡??许å?ç­?????大æ??? (US-China Business
???ä¸??ï¼??为ä?ä»???³æ³¨????¹ï?é¦????»´??¸­?? Council 2014)??
社ä?稳å????为ã??¸­?½æ??¥ã???稿ç?ä¸??ä½??å§??
说ï?????????¸©å®¶å?ä¸?å±??åº??该å?以å??ºæ?å¤?? - 2013å¹?11????¨ä¸­?½å?产å?ç¬?????ä¸?¸­
绩ï?ä½??ä»?»¬æ²¡æ??»å????ä»?»§?¿ä???¥½????ºï?ä½? ?¨ä?ä¸??ä¹??平主å¸???¶é?导ç?å­??å®??ä¸?份æ??¨å?
?´æ²¡???æ­¤å?ç¡?ä¸??è¿??æ­¥â?? (Moore 2012)?? 代ç????æµ?¨¡å¼??????¸­?½ç?æµ???¿æ???è¦???¹é?è·?
线å????份æ????称为???å®?????¶æ?å¿???·¯??½¿å¸?
2012å¹?11???强ç????¡ä¸­?½å?å¼??°ä?è½??æµ?? ?ºå?èµ????½®ä¸?µ·???å®??§â????? (Powell 2014)??
?©ç?ä¹??å¹³æ?为中?½æ?ä¸?ä»»å?家主å¸????ä»??ä»»é?å¯? ä½?¸º?¶å?è¿???¨é?æ·±å??¹é?è®????¹³?°ï????å±??ä¸?
人æ?ä¸?»§?¿è??¥ç?ä¸??ç»??å·²ç???????????????? ?¨ä???????è§???????????å¸???¸å???»¶ï¼?¸º??
????»å???????»ç????ï¼???¶ï?UBSï¼??å¸?¸­?½ç? ?©ç??¹å?????´å?è¯?????å¼????äº??件æ?ç¡???ºæ?
æµ??家汪æ¶??为ï?2015å¹´ç?æµ??å¹???½é???6.8%ï¼? ?©å·¥ä½?????ä»»å?ï¼?????让å??ºå?ç»??ä¸?µ·???å®?
2016å¹´é???6.5% (Powell 2014)?? ?§â????¨ã????©ä¸­?½ç?è´¢ç??¶åº¦???é«???½æ?èµ? (US-
China Business Council 2014)??
????»å?????????ç¯??ç«?????ï¼?????å¤?¹´
é«?¾¾ä¸¤ä??°ç?ç»??å¢??ä¹??ï¼?????æµ?¤§å¹?????ä¹? ?£å¤§???Daniel Rosenï¼??纽约?£é??¨è????
å°±æ????æµ?????ä½??7%????£å°±????½ä???????? ï¼?hodium Groupï¼?????人ã??2014å¹?11????£å¤§
ä¸???±äº§????§æ????ä½???????è¿??ï¼???¹´è½»ç?å¤? ???为æ?稿人ï¼??äº?´²????¿ç???©¶??????°å?äº??
å­??æ¯??ä¹?????å°±ä?ï¼????´«?°ç????å·¥æ??°æ? 份å?äº?¸­?½ç?æµ???©å?????¥å????认为ï¼???¸­?½ç?
????°å?ä¹??ä¸??å·¥ä?ï¼????¤§????´äº§å¯¼è???·¥ä¸? ???模å?å·²ç?è¿??ï¼??¥é?é©??????????ä½??è½????
å²??è¿??????ºç?????µè?ä¸?????导å?æ·±æ?忧è??? (Powell 2014)??
(Powell 2014)??
?£å¤§????¥å?ä¸???ºï???¸ºäº??????¹é??????
??¸º????°è?ä¸??¹ï?ä¸?????导å?å¾??å°±å?å§?§¯ æ¯???©ç?é£???´å¤§ï¼??è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸­å¼??äº????è¾??导人
???论å?ä½??è¿??å®??ç»???¹é?ï¼?????讨è?ä¹??å¹? ???å¹³ç?è¯?????¼å??¶å??°ä»£???ç­??ï¼??å°?¹³è¯´ä?
没æ??????????ä¹??è¡???????ä¸?´¸????½å???? ä¸??¥æ?????©ç?è¯??ä¸???©å??¾ï????死路ä¸??¡ã??¸º
ç»???¥å?计å??¡ã????ºï????äº???©ç?讨è???2011 äº????µ°è¿???¡å?ï¼?¸­?½å?é¡»å???·±????©ï?对å???
å¹´å¹´åº???ºï??¨ä?å¹´å?ä¹??ï¼??2012-2013å¹´é?ï¼?¸­ 大å??¾â?? (Rosen 2014)??
?½æ?åº?????é¢??å±?º¤?¥â?????å°±æ?说ï??¨ä?è¿?¹³??
为中?½å?家主å¸??ä¸??ä¸?¤®?»ä¹¦è®°ã?????¼º??¸º?½å? ?¨å?ä¸?份æ???¸­ï¼??大è?æ¦?¿°äº?¸­?½å??????¹´
?¢æ?»ç?ä¹??ä¸?å¹´ï?ä¸??å·²ç?è¿??äº??äº???©ç?讨è??? ???ä¼???°ç??¾é????ä»??æµ???????¸­?½æ?åº????
ç¾?¸­è´¸æ??¨å?å§??ä¼???ºï????è¿?¹³å¼ºç????ç»???? ???对å????????©è·¯çº¿èµ°ä¸?????ï¼?¸­?½ç?ä¼????
?©ï?ä»???°ä»¥???æ¿????????¢å??¹é????????©è? ?¿å??¨é???¤¾ä¼????ººå£??è¡???¹å?å°?????ä½??è¾?
模å??¹é???º¦???æµ??? (US-China Business Council 大ç??¹å?ï¼????¸ºä¸???¶ä??°å??????ä¼?????????
2014)?? ?¹æ?è¢??ç½???¶å¸¦?¥ç?æ¶??å½±å?ä¹???·æ·±è¿????»è???
ä¹?????ä¸???°ç?æ·±å??¹é??¿ç????å®???½å???´¥ä¸?

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