Page 101 - 2017 White Paper
P. 101
The American Chamber of Commerce in South China
ä½??ï¼?????½å?交å?äº?¤ª?¶ä??????2016å¹?3??? ?£ä?ï¼?????°æ?»ç??¥ä¸»?½å?ï¼?·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?
?»è?论æ?ç«??认为ä¸??????¡é??¨é???¾·???æµ·å???? å®?????å·²ç?????¹ä¸??????è¿??ç¾?¸??¾¹??????
论å?ä¸??ä¹?????????¹è?人æ??°æ?å¤??????ç«???ºï? ????¥èµ°????³ç?ä»?ä¹??ï¼??????´å?äº?olitico?¥é?å¯?
ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°???¨ç??½æ??»ç????åº???·²ç»??
?????å¾?¤§ç¨?º¦ä¸????¸?½æµ·äº?????ç»???¨é?é¢??ç¾? ç¾??è´¸æ?代表è¿??å°??¢å?ç½??ï¼?ichael Fromanï¼????
?½æ?»ç?大é????©ç????ç«?????ï¼??è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸2015å¹?9
??15?¥è?ç¾??????½å??°é?ç§?¹¦???室å?????°é?ç®??? 访å?容ã????°ç?ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®???¶å???å¼???¼è¡¨ç¤ºï?
???没æ????ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??è¿??ï¼??没æ???¡® ?¨å?奥巴é©????????è¾¹å?è¯???¨ç»§ç»??????认为ç¾ç½²
è¾¾æ???????ä½???? (Tiezzi 2016)?? ä¸?ä¸??è§?????è®??????????????é«???¼ç??????
?½ç?æ£æ??¨ä¸?½ç?æµ???©å??¾ï?????¶è??????????
?¨ã??¸?½æ??¥ã??2016å¹?6????¥é?ä¸??ç¾??è´¢æ??? èµ?????解å???»¬ç¾??ä¼???¨ä¸?½å??ºé??°ç?ä¸?ç³»å???
é¢?????¤å·²ç»??å¾??å®???¨å????å±??ä½??è°??å°??å®?
?¨é??°å??¢å?认为ï¼?¸?½æ??°ç?è´??æ¸?????å¤??å¿?? ????(Webster 2016)??
??????让ä¸?½ç?æµ???¾å???»¥è®©è??¤æ????å¾??å±?? ?³ä?ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??ï¼?»¥ä¸?¾¿???ä»????
ç¨?º¦?????表示ï¼?2016å¹?9??»½äº???½é??¢é?导人??? ?????¹¦???稿æ?为æ????½ä?解å?????°è?å±???
å³°ä????????¥¥å·´é©¬-ä¹??å¹³ä?è°???????常æ??¨â???ï¼?
ä½??ä»??è¡¥å?说ï?????¨æ?ä¹??æ³??è¯???¤è?å¤??ç»?? ç¾?¸ä¸¤å?å®????µ¢
å¾?????? (Chen 2016b)??
?¨ä?è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸è®¿é?ç¾?????ï¼??ä¸???¹å°±??¾¹??
ç¾???°é?ç½??Politico?´å?è´¢æ??¨é????称ï?è´¢æ? èµ??å®???¸å?è®??è¿??è°??并å?å¾??è¿??????½æ?åº??
?¨é?å¸??????½å???1??20?¥å¥¥å·´é©¬?»ç?离任ä¹??è¾¾æ? å±?????ï¼??ä»?·²ç»??ä¸?????äº?????ä¸????????
??????奥巴é©?-ä¹??å¹³ç?9???è°?????ç¾??è´¢æ??? (BIT)ä¸???¤ç?ç»??é¢???°é????å®??ä¸?份声??¸ç§°ï?å¥?
?¿ä?表示å¸??è°???½å????å°½å??½å????å±???????ä»? 巴马?»ç????è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸???ï¼??ä»??ä¼??è¡??è¾¹æ?èµ??
ä¹?¼ºè°???????´¨???ä½?????ç¾ç½²?????????ï¼? å®???¤ï?è¿?????两å?é¢??人ä??¤ä¸?????????æµ??
???认为??»¬ä¸???¿æ?为ä?ç¾ç½²??????ç½²å?è®??è¦? ?¡â??(Mauldin and Magnier 2015)??
ä¸??ä»?¾¾???ä¸?????é«?°´å¹³å?å®??è¦????»¬å°±ä?ç?
ç½²â??(Behsudi et al. 2016)?? ç¾?¸??¾¹??????????¤æ?ç»?·²ä¹?????äº?2008å¹?
è¿????21次è??¤ã????½å?ä¼?¸¸?¡å?ä¼?????ä¼??Myron
2016å¹?8???ä¸?????ç½??China-U.S. Focus ï¼? Brilliantï¼???¥å????å°???¥æ????访æ????ï¼?¸?½æ?è¿?
ç®?æ´??æ¦??äº???¹è??¤ç????ï¼??为ç?ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®? æ£å????????¢æ?????¶å????è¿?35ä¸??æ¢å??½æ?èµ??
è°??å??ä¸?¡®å®??§ï?è¿?????æ³??认ç???????¶é???¢ç? å·¥ä??¨é????è¡¥å????对ä?ç¾??ä¼???¥è?ï¼??ä¸??å??
?½æ?»ç?大é????´ï?ç¾???½å??¿æ²»å±??¿è?为å??¡ï?????? ????¥å??? (Mauldin and Magnier 2015)??
?±è´¸???说æ????å°??ï¼???¹è??±è´¸????´ç??½å????
失ä?????¨æ????ä¹??ï¼?»§ç»??è¡??ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®?? ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??äº?2008å¹´æ?å¼??????¨è???
?¤å?ä¼??临ç?ç§??????°é? (Wu 2016)?? è¿??å¹´é????å±?????ä¹??å½??è°????????¨è???¸ª??
???ç¾???¹é???¿«äº???¤è?å±???º¦??¸ç¾?¸¤?½å??ºå?æ¶?
????½å??????ä¸?ç¯??ç«???³æ????è§???9????¥¥ 丰å?ï¼??????¤å??°å???¹¶?·å??½ä??¹å?ï¼??å®??ä¼??
巴马-ä¹??å¹³ä?è°??????????认为ï¼?????ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ? ???ç¢??ä¸???¥å??¹å??ºç??????????????????ä»?
???è°????¥¥å·´é©¬?¿å?ä»»æ?ç»??ä¹?????项â???è¦??æµ? ??¾¹??????类似äº???±è´¸???è®?¸???èµ??????
ä»»å????ä½????????ï¼??è¿?¸ª?¶å??????ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ?
???è°??å°?????????ºæ?æ²»ç??¸â????????说ï?ä¸?? ä¸????????äº?¤§ç»??ä½????以ç?ä¸?¾¾???è¾¹æ?èµ?
ä»??å®???·ï?ç¾?¸??¾¹??????å¿?¡»?·å??½ä?ä¸??ä¹?? ???å°??对ç??½ä?ä¸?¸¦?¥é?大影?????????¨è?模æ???
????????????ï¼??ç¾?¸è´¸æ???·®????²æ?é«??2016 å®?¤§??·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³?(TPP)?¢å?ï¼??ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®?
å¹´ï?è¦??å¾??ä¼???????¸¸?°é??? (Dayen 2016)?? ?¾å??¸å½¢è§????°½ç®¡å?æ¤ï???¤§ä¼?????ä¸??ç»??å·¥ä?
ä»??äº???ºå?ï¼??è¿??ä¸???¹ç?ç»??å®???
ç¾???»ç?大é??????????¿æ²»???????»è????
??????ä¸??500强ä?ä¸??ä¼??ä¼?????å·²ç??½å?
Transpacifica???äº?¾¯ä»»æ?»ç???º³å¾·â?¢ç???????份å? ???ä¼?¸¸è¯´ï?å¸??ç¼??ç¾?¸??¾¹?????????äº??ä¸??
ä¼??????½å?ä¼?????½å??½å???????????½é??????
?¶è?é¢????è§??ä¸???¹æ???¡¨ç¤ºå??¨ä?ä»»â???ä¸??¥æ?å¼? 论å?ï¼?????½é?????¡è????代表äº??ç¾?18家æ?大ç?
???ç¾???³ä????ºè·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?å®??TPPï¼???? ????ºæ????å¸??è¡?????ä¸???¤äºº????¢æ?ï¼???½ä?
?¥â????????ºè·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?å®??为å?å°±è?é¦?¸ª??
?¥å?å°??è¡??ç¬??大è??¿æ??? (Webster 2016)?? 101
ä½??ï¼?????½å?交å?äº?¤ª?¶ä??????2016å¹?3??? ?£ä?ï¼?????°æ?»ç??¥ä¸»?½å?ï¼?·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?
?»è?论æ?ç«??认为ä¸??????¡é??¨é???¾·???æµ·å???? å®?????å·²ç?????¹ä¸??????è¿??ç¾?¸??¾¹??????
论å?ä¸??ä¹?????????¹è?人æ??°æ?å¤??????ç«???ºï? ????¥èµ°????³ç?ä»?ä¹??ï¼??????´å?äº?olitico?¥é?å¯?
ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°???¨ç??½æ??»ç????åº???·²ç»??
?????å¾?¤§ç¨?º¦ä¸????¸?½æµ·äº?????ç»???¨é?é¢??ç¾? ç¾??è´¸æ?代表è¿??å°??¢å?ç½??ï¼?ichael Fromanï¼????
?½æ?»ç?大é????©ç????ç«?????ï¼??è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸2015å¹?9
??15?¥è?ç¾??????½å??°é?ç§?¹¦???室å?????°é?ç®??? 访å?容ã????°ç?ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®???¶å???å¼???¼è¡¨ç¤ºï?
???没æ????ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??è¿??ï¼??没æ???¡® ?¨å?奥巴é©????????è¾¹å?è¯???¨ç»§ç»??????认为ç¾ç½²
è¾¾æ???????ä½???? (Tiezzi 2016)?? ä¸?ä¸??è§?????è®??????????????é«???¼ç??????
?½ç?æ£æ??¨ä¸?½ç?æµ???©å??¾ï?????¶è??????????
?¨ã??¸?½æ??¥ã??2016å¹?6????¥é?ä¸??ç¾??è´¢æ??? èµ?????解å???»¬ç¾??ä¼???¨ä¸?½å??ºé??°ç?ä¸?ç³»å???
é¢?????¤å·²ç»??å¾??å®???¨å????å±??ä½??è°??å°??å®?
?¨é??°å??¢å?认为ï¼?¸?½æ??°ç?è´??æ¸?????å¤??å¿?? ????(Webster 2016)??
??????让ä¸?½ç?æµ???¾å???»¥è®©è??¤æ????å¾??å±?? ?³ä?ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??ï¼?»¥ä¸?¾¿???ä»????
ç¨?º¦?????表示ï¼?2016å¹?9??»½äº???½é??¢é?导人??? ?????¹¦???稿æ?为æ????½ä?解å?????°è?å±???
å³°ä????????¥¥å·´é©¬-ä¹??å¹³ä?è°???????常æ??¨â???ï¼?
ä½??ä»??è¡¥å?说ï?????¨æ?ä¹??æ³??è¯???¤è?å¤??ç»?? ç¾?¸ä¸¤å?å®????µ¢
å¾?????? (Chen 2016b)??
?¨ä?è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸è®¿é?ç¾?????ï¼??ä¸???¹å°±??¾¹??
ç¾???°é?ç½??Politico?´å?è´¢æ??¨é????称ï?è´¢æ? èµ??å®???¸å?è®??è¿??è°??并å?å¾??è¿??????½æ?åº??
?¨é?å¸??????½å???1??20?¥å¥¥å·´é©¬?»ç?离任ä¹??è¾¾æ? å±?????ï¼??ä»?·²ç»??ä¸?????äº?????ä¸????????
??????奥巴é©?-ä¹??å¹³ç?9???è°?????ç¾??è´¢æ??? (BIT)ä¸???¤ç?ç»??é¢???°é????å®??ä¸?份声??¸ç§°ï?å¥?
?¿ä?表示å¸??è°???½å????å°½å??½å????å±???????ä»? 巴马?»ç????è¿?¹³ä¸»å¸???ï¼??ä»??ä¼??è¡??è¾¹æ?èµ??
ä¹?¼ºè°???????´¨???ä½?????ç¾ç½²?????????ï¼? å®???¤ï?è¿?????两å?é¢??人ä??¤ä¸?????????æµ??
???认为??»¬ä¸???¿æ?为ä?ç¾ç½²??????ç½²å?è®??è¦? ?¡â??(Mauldin and Magnier 2015)??
ä¸??ä»?¾¾???ä¸?????é«?°´å¹³å?å®??è¦????»¬å°±ä?ç?
ç½²â??(Behsudi et al. 2016)?? ç¾?¸??¾¹??????????¤æ?ç»?·²ä¹?????äº?2008å¹?
è¿????21次è??¤ã????½å?ä¼?¸¸?¡å?ä¼?????ä¼??Myron
2016å¹?8???ä¸?????ç½??China-U.S. Focus ï¼? Brilliantï¼???¥å????å°???¥æ????访æ????ï¼?¸?½æ?è¿?
ç®?æ´??æ¦??äº???¹è??¤ç????ï¼??为ç?ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®? æ£å????????¢æ?????¶å????è¿?35ä¸??æ¢å??½æ?èµ??
è°??å??ä¸?¡®å®??§ï?è¿?????æ³??认ç???????¶é???¢ç? å·¥ä??¨é????è¡¥å????对ä?ç¾??ä¼???¥è?ï¼??ä¸??å??
?½æ?»ç?大é????´ï?ç¾???½å??¿æ²»å±??¿è?为å??¡ï?????? ????¥å??? (Mauldin and Magnier 2015)??
?±è´¸???说æ????å°??ï¼???¹è??±è´¸????´ç??½å????
失ä?????¨æ????ä¹??ï¼?»§ç»??è¡??ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®?? ç¾?¸??¾¹??????è°??äº?2008å¹´æ?å¼??????¨è???
?¤å?ä¼??临ç?ç§??????°é? (Wu 2016)?? è¿??å¹´é????å±?????ä¹??å½??è°????????¨è???¸ª??
???ç¾???¹é???¿«äº???¤è?å±???º¦??¸ç¾?¸¤?½å??ºå?æ¶?
????½å??????ä¸?ç¯??ç«???³æ????è§???9????¥¥ 丰å?ï¼??????¤å??°å???¹¶?·å??½ä??¹å?ï¼??å®??ä¼??
巴马-ä¹??å¹³ä?è°??????????认为ï¼?????ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ? ???ç¢??ä¸???¥å??¹å??ºç??????????????????ä»?
???è°????¥¥å·´é©¬?¿å?ä»»æ?ç»??ä¹?????项â???è¦??æµ? ??¾¹??????类似äº???±è´¸???è®?¸???èµ??????
ä»»å????ä½????????ï¼??è¿?¸ª?¶å??????ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ?
???è°??å°?????????ºæ?æ²»ç??¸â????????说ï?ä¸?? ä¸????????äº?¤§ç»??ä½????以ç?ä¸?¾¾???è¾¹æ?èµ?
ä»??å®???·ï?ç¾?¸??¾¹??????å¿?¡»?·å??½ä?ä¸??ä¹?? ???å°??对ç??½ä?ä¸?¸¦?¥é?大影?????????¨è?模æ???
????????????ï¼??ç¾?¸è´¸æ???·®????²æ?é«??2016 å®?¤§??·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³?(TPP)?¢å?ï¼??ä¸??è¾¹æ?èµ??å®?
å¹´ï?è¦??å¾??ä¼???????¸¸?°é??? (Dayen 2016)?? ?¾å??¸å½¢è§????°½ç®¡å?æ¤ï???¤§ä¼?????ä¸??ç»??å·¥ä?
ä»??äº???ºå?ï¼??è¿??ä¸???¹ç?ç»??å®???
ç¾???»ç?大é??????????¿æ²»???????»è????
??????ä¸??500强ä?ä¸??ä¼??ä¼?????å·²ç??½å?
Transpacifica???äº?¾¯ä»»æ?»ç???º³å¾·â?¢ç???????份å? ???ä¼?¸¸è¯´ï?å¸??ç¼??ç¾?¸??¾¹?????????äº??ä¸??
ä¼??????½å?ä¼?????½å??½å???????????½é??????
?¶è?é¢????è§??ä¸???¹æ???¡¨ç¤ºå??¨ä?ä»»â???ä¸??¥æ?å¼? 论å?ï¼?????½é?????¡è????代表äº??ç¾?18家æ?大ç?
???ç¾???³ä????ºè·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?å®??TPPï¼???? ????ºæ????å¸??è¡?????ä¸???¤äºº????¢æ?ï¼???½ä?
?¥â????????ºè·¨å¤?¹³æ´??ä¼´å?ç³»å?å®??为å?å°±è?é¦?¸ª??
?¥å?å°??è¡??ç¬??大è??¿æ??? (Webster 2016)?? 101
