Page 60 - 2025 Special Report

vast majority of the companies studied 大多数受访企业预计，中美贸易纠纷将在
A anticipate that the US-China trade dispute 绝2025年进一步加剧，其中95%的企业认
will intensify in 2025, with 95% considering it 为纠纷“非常可能”或“比较可能”升级。这一比例较
“very likely” or “quite likely” to escalate. This 2023年上升了9个百分点，达到有记录以来的最高
represents a 9pp increase compared to the 值，并与2019年的数据完全一致。尽管中美贸易纠
previous year, reaching the highest level on 纷已持续相当长一段时间，但仍有70%的受访企业
record and aligning precisely with the figure 预计中美贸易纠纷对其业务运营的影响将持续两年
observed in 2019. Even though US-China trade 以上。
dispute has continued for quite a long time,
70% of the participating companies expect that
its impact on business operation will persist for
more than two years.

Figure 65. Possibility of Escalation of US-China Trade Dispute in 2025 (by Origins of Companies)
图表 65. 中美贸易纠纷在2025年扩大的可能性（按照国家来源划分）

Very likely
非常可能

Quite likely
比较可能

Quite unlikely
相当不可能

Very unlikely
非常不可能

Chinese Companies American Companies Other Companies
中资企业 美资企业 其他企业
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